Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.014309 0.016636 0.019206 0.022252 0.025763 0.029680 0.034380
2026-01-04 0.011150 0.014236 0.017957 0.022766 0.028808 0.036140 0.045705
2026-01-11 0.008537 0.011829 0.016113 0.022078 0.030152 0.040678 0.055425
2026-01-18 0.006855 0.010211 0.014882 0.021828 0.031859 0.045781 0.066524
2026-01-25 0.005527 0.008788 0.013612 0.021219 0.032859 0.049935 0.076807
2026-02-01 0.004573 0.007715 0.012627 0.020796 0.033967 0.054274 0.087827
2026-02-08 0.003877 0.006908 0.011891 0.020590 0.035297 0.059018 0.099981
2026-02-15 0.003264 0.006122 0.011047 0.020044 0.035942 0.062677 0.110768
2026-02-22 0.002978 0.005853 0.011022 0.020861 0.038954 0.070547 0.129497
2026-03-01 0.002617 0.005380 0.010557 0.020809 0.040394 0.075842 0.144336
2026-03-08 0.002227 0.004782 0.009766 0.020020 0.040345 0.078432 0.154537
2026-03-15 0.001963 0.004394 0.009317 0.019815 0.041355 0.083043 0.168990
2026-03-22 0.001854 0.004316 0.009486 0.020894 0.045080 0.093344 0.195841
2026-03-29 0.001707 0.004133 0.009411 0.021455 0.047829 0.102065 0.220632
2026-04-05 0.001485 0.003741 0.008830 0.020845 0.048026 0.105640 0.235319
2026-04-12 0.001323 0.003461 0.008453 0.020629 0.049041 0.111020 0.254432
2026-04-19 0.001159 0.003149 0.007956 0.020062 0.049184 0.114532 0.269886
2026-04-26 0.001028 0.002895 0.007557 0.019667 0.049666 0.118826 0.287563
2026-05-03 0.000924 0.002696 0.007260 0.019474 0.050592 0.124215 0.308342
2026-05-10 0.000817 0.002468 0.006858 0.018958 0.050655 0.127593 0.324776
2026-05-17 0.000780 0.002432 0.006949 0.019733 0.054068 0.139334 0.362683
2026-05-24 0.000712 0.002292 0.006743 0.019684 0.055343 0.146002 0.388846
2026-05-31 0.000625 0.002081 0.006305 0.018936 0.054667 0.147715 0.402717